Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000516 0.000558 0.000601 0.000650 0.000702 0.000757 0.000819
2026-01-11 0.000458 0.000516 0.000580 0.000654 0.000737 0.000829 0.000937
2026-01-18 0.000415 0.000485 0.000563 0.000658 0.000768 0.000893 0.001046
2026-01-25 0.000380 0.000457 0.000546 0.000657 0.000790 0.000946 0.001142
2026-02-01 0.000346 0.000428 0.000524 0.000646 0.000797 0.000979 0.001214
2026-02-08 0.000319 0.000403 0.000505 0.000637 0.000805 0.001011 0.001284
2026-02-15 0.000296 0.000382 0.000488 0.000629 0.000812 0.001042 0.001353
2026-02-22 0.000277 0.000364 0.000474 0.000623 0.000820 0.001072 0.001420
2026-03-01 0.000259 0.000347 0.000460 0.000616 0.000826 0.001099 0.001484
2026-03-08 0.000242 0.000330 0.000444 0.000605 0.000825 0.001117 0.001535
2026-03-15 0.000228 0.000315 0.000431 0.000596 0.000826 0.001136 0.001588
2026-03-22 0.000212 0.000298 0.000414 0.000581 0.000818 0.001143 0.001623
2026-03-29 0.000198 0.000283 0.000399 0.000570 0.000816 0.001160 0.001677
2026-04-05 0.000188 0.000273 0.000392 0.000569 0.000829 0.001198 0.001765
2026-04-12 0.000180 0.000265 0.000386 0.000571 0.000846 0.001242 0.001861
2026-04-19 0.000171 0.000257 0.000380 0.000570 0.000857 0.001279 0.001949
2026-04-26 0.000161 0.000245 0.000368 0.000560 0.000856 0.001296 0.002006
2026-05-03 0.000152 0.000235 0.000357 0.000552 0.000856 0.001316 0.002068
2026-05-10 0.000144 0.000226 0.000348 0.000545 0.000858 0.001338 0.002135
2026-05-17 0.000137 0.000218 0.000340 0.000540 0.000861 0.001360 0.002203
2026-05-24 0.000131 0.000210 0.000331 0.000534 0.000863 0.001382 0.002269
2026-05-31 0.000123 0.000201 0.000321 0.000524 0.000859 0.001393 0.002319
2026-06-07 0.000117 0.000193 0.000313 0.000516 0.000856 0.001407 0.002374